FAW Championship
31.08 · 16:30
· Finished
Aberystwyth Town
4 : 0
llanelli AFC
11.36
X5.29
27.7
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.68.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.68
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
69.9%
exp. goals
2.81
edge
+16.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.