FAW Championship
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.20.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.20
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
66.2%
exp. goals
3.19
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.02.26
0:1
Under 2.5
22.08.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
04.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5
11.10.24
3:2
Over 2.5 won