FAW Championship
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.50.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
No
2.50
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.1%
exp. goals
2.64
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.02.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won
18.11.23
1:1
Under 2.5