FA Trophy
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Ascot United
3 : 0
Margate
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.70.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.70
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.3%
exp. goals
2.66
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.09.24
1:0
Under 2.5