Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
73.1%
exp. goals
3.41
edge
+0.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.03.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
18.10.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
05.04.25
0:4
Over 2.5 won
26.10.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won