Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.5%
exp. goals
3.23
edge
-10.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.05.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
10.09.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
21.05.23
4:1
Over 2.5 won
08.10.22
1:1
Under 2.5