Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.9%
exp. goals
2.98
edge
-4.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
06.06.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
02.11.25
2:0
Under 2.5
10.05.25
0:0
Under 2.5
06.10.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won