3. Division
05.09 · 15:30
· Finished
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanløse
12.2
X3.6
22.96
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.30.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.30
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.3%
exp. goals
2.83
edge
-10.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.05.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won
27.04.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won
23.03.24
1:1
Under 2.5
23.09.23
3:1
Over 2.5 won