Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
2.31
edge
-2.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
30.03.26
1:4
Over 2.5 won
03.08.25
1:0
Under 2.5
17.11.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won
14.07.24
0:4
Over 2.5 won