2. Bundesliga
29.08 · 21:30
· Finished
1. FC Nürnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.97.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.23
medium
Over 11.5
2.70
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 11.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.2%
exp. goals
3.14
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.04.26
1:1
Under 2.5
23.11.25
2:0
Under 2.5
19.07.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
17.03.23
2:2
Over 2.5 won