Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.8%
exp. goals
3.02
edge
-0.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.11.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
20.04.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
23.11.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won
14.05.23
1:2
Over 2.5 won