Premier League
04.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Llandudno
2 : 0
Ammanford AFC
11.45
X6
210.9
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.63.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.63
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.3%
exp. goals
3.01
edge
-2.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.