Premier League
04.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Holywell
1 : 1
Trefelin
12.9
X4.04
22.47
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.45.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.45
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.4%
exp. goals
3.53
edge
+16.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.