Premier League
04.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Cardiff MET
2 : 2
Cambrian & Clydach
12
X4.09
23.94
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.00.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.00
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
2.54
edge
-2.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.09.25
1:1
Under 2.5