Premier League
31.08 · 16:30
· Finished
Haverfordwest County AFC
2 : 1
Trefelin
11.58
X4.26
25.6
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.45.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 0.5
2.45
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.8%
exp. goals
2.89
edge
-0.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.