Premier League
31.08 · 16:30
· Finished
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
13.35
X3.5
22.22
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.25.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.25
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.2%
exp. goals
2.84
edge
-5.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.12.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
07.10.25
1:0
Under 2.5
19.04.25
0:5
Over 2.5 won
07.03.25
3:4
Over 2.5 won