Premier League
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford AFC
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.67.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.67
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.5%
exp. goals
3.32
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.01.26
4:0
Over 2.5 won
12.09.25
2:0
Under 2.5
21.03.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
22.11.24
0:1
Under 2.5