Premier League
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Penybont
1 : 1
Flint Town United
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.20.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.20
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.1%
exp. goals
3.05
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.12.25
0:0
Under 2.5
01.11.25
4:3
Over 2.5 won
13.09.25
5:0
Over 2.5 won
09.11.24
3:1
Over 2.5 won