Premier League
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Cardiff MET
3 : 0
Briton Ferry
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.81.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 9.5
1.81
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81%
exp. goals
2.91
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
03.04.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
16.03.26
0:2
Under 2.5
16.12.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
15.08.25
1:1
Under 2.5