Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.1%
exp. goals
2.72
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
12.04.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
15.09.24
1:1
Under 2.5
23.03.24
0:4
Over 2.5 won
14.10.23
1:2
Over 2.5 won