Primeira Liga
13.09 · 20:00
· Finished
Benfica
3 : 1
GIL Vicente
11.15
X10.4
223
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.58.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.67
low
1
1.49
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.1%
exp. goals
2.97
edge
-10.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.03.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
26.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
28.03.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
28.09.24
5:1
Over 2.5 won