Primeira Liga
05.09 · 20:00
· Finished
Alverca
1 : 2
SC Braga
15.17
X3.64
21.81
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.20.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.20
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74%
exp. goals
2.66
edge
+0.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.01.26
0:5
Over 2.5 won
17.08.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won