Primeira Liga
29.08 · 17:30
· Finished
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.15.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
2.15
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.4%
exp. goals
2.18
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.04.23
1:0
Under 2.5
23.10.22
1:1
Under 2.5
14.02.22
0:3
Over 2.5 won