Bundesliga
05.09 · 16:30
· Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
11.41
X5.58
27.8
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.03.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.03
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
3.01
edge
-14.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.02.26
0:1
Under 2.5
04.10.25
2:0
Under 2.5
12.04.25
0:0
Under 2.5
30.11.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won