Bundesliga
05.09 · 16:30
· Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Borussia Dortmund
12.7
X3.92
22.59
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.96.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.96
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.6%
exp. goals
3.23
edge
-14.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.04.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
07.12.25
0:2
Under 2.5
26.04.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
15.12.24
1:1
Under 2.5