Bundesliga
04.09 · 21:30
· Finished
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1
1. FC Köln
11.54
X5.4
26.59
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.00.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.00
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 23.5
Fouls over/under
probability
76.8%
exp. goals
3.37
edge
+11.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.02.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
28.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
24.02.24
1:1
Under 2.5
30.09.23
2:0
Under 2.5