Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.5%
exp. goals
2.18
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.02.26
1:0
Under 2.5
05.09.25
0:0
Under 2.5
14.03.25
1:0
Under 2.5
18.10.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won