Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.6%
exp. goals
3.03
edge
-6.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.09.25
2:4
Over 2.5 won
23.05.25
0:2
Under 2.5
26.10.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won
08.03.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won