Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.9%
exp. goals
2.18
edge
-7.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.02.26
1:1
Under 2.5
09.11.25
0:0
Under 2.5
16.02.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
06.10.24
1:4
Over 2.5 won