Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.2%
exp. goals
2.49
edge
-11.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
25.10.24
0:1
Under 2.5
05.03.21
1:1
Under 2.5
23.08.20
0:2
Under 2.5