Primera División RFEF - Group 1
04.09 · 22:15
· Finished
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
11.99
X3.3
24.35
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.99.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.99
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
68.2%
exp. goals
2.05
edge
+4.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.02.26
2:0
Under 2.5
15.11.25
1:1
Under 2.5
23.03.25
0:1
Under 2.5
14.12.24
1:0
Under 2.5