La Liga
04.09 · 22:00
· Finished
Real Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
17
X5.4
21.5
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.70.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 21.5
1.90
high
Under 11.5
1.49
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Under 21.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.2%
exp. goals
2.81
edge
-15.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.04.26
1:1
Under 2.5
04.01.26
1:5
Over 2.5 won
01.03.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
01.09.24
0:2
Under 2.5