La Liga
28.08 · 22:30
· Finished
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.41.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 5.5
1.41
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.1%
exp. goals
2.72
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.03.26
1:1
Under 2.5
10.01.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
08.03.25
1:0
Under 2.5
09.11.24
0:3
Over 2.5 won