Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
70%
exp. goals
2.09
edge
-5.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.04.26
2:0
Under 2.5
20.09.25
1:0
Under 2.5
18.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5
25.08.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won