Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 4.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.9%
exp. goals
2.34
edge
+6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.03.26
0:1
Under 2.5
08.09.25
0:2
Under 2.5
14.04.24
0:2
Under 2.5
10.12.23
2:2
Over 2.5 won