Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
50%
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.7%
exp. goals
2.91
edge
-5.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.03.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
09.08.25
2:0
Under 2.5