Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83%
exp. goals
2.89
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.05.25
2:0
Under 2.5
25.01.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
06.10.24
2:0
Under 2.5
01.04.23
6:2
Over 2.5 won