Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 7.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.4%
exp. goals
2.27
edge
+9.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.10.22
0:1
Under 2.5
03.04.22
1:3
Over 2.5 won