Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
3.29
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.08.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
25.05.25
0:0
Under 2.5
17.08.24
0:3
Over 2.5 won
19.05.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won