Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.9%
exp. goals
3.58
edge
-8.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.07.22
0:2
Under 2.5
26.03.22
2:3
Over 2.5 won
21.11.21
0:0
Under 2.5
20.03.21
1:3
Over 2.5 won