Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 9.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
2.36
edge
-2.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.09.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
26.03.25
0:2
Under 2.5
23.02.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
25.08.24
0:0
Under 2.5