Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.6%
exp. goals
2.83
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.03.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
11.08.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
12.05.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won
14.10.23
1:1
Under 2.5