Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
3.68
edge
+21.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.05.23
1:5
Over 2.5 won
12.05.23
4:0
Over 2.5 won
04.03.23
0:1
Under 2.5
16.08.22
2:0
Under 2.5