Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.1%
exp. goals
0.77
edge
+11.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.01.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
13.09.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won