League One
01.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
12.52
X3.5
23.4
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.92.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
2.92
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.5%
exp. goals
2.75
edge
-1.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
03.05.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
09.11.24
1:1
Under 2.5
26.12.23
0:3
Over 2.5 won
19.08.23
1:3
Over 2.5 won