League One
29.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Stevenage
2 : 2
Doncaster
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.88.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 0.5
2.88
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 21.5
Fouls over/under
probability
79.1%
exp. goals
2.15
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.04.26
1:1
Under 2.5
22.11.25
0:0
Under 2.5
18.04.23
1:0
Under 2.5
25.10.22
1:0
Under 2.5