Matches / League Two / Swindon Town — Colchester · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
League Two 05.09 · 17:00 · Finished
Swindon Town
home
Swindon Town
3 : 1
Colchester
Colchester
away
12.55 X3.67 22.63
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.80.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticC model TheAnalyticC model model 5 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 10.5 1.80 medium

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 70.9% exp. goals 2.56 edge -2.9%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

25.10.25 0:0 Under 2.5
01.01.25 3:2 Over 2.5 won
03.12.24 0:4 Over 2.5 won
02.11.24 2:1 Over 2.5 won