Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.7%
exp. goals
2.36
edge
+3.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.02.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
20.08.24
0:2
Under 2.5
10.08.24
0:2
Under 2.5
20.12.22
1:0
Under 2.5