Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.5%
exp. goals
2.36
edge
+4.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.02.23
0:2
Under 2.5
06.08.22
0:1
Under 2.5
23.01.21
2:2
Over 2.5 won
19.12.20
1:4
Over 2.5 won