League Two
05.09 · 14:30
· Finished
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
11.93
X3.53
24.03
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.91.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.91
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.8%
exp. goals
2.28
edge
-6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.08.26
4:0
Over 2.5 won
25.04.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
22.11.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
01.01.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won